The Rest of December Into the Beginning of January

After an active and cold late week into this past weekend things will warm up as we continue through the week.

Models were showing a storm system moving through the area on Thursday bringing with it Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow and Rain but have since trended further North with the system which would leave our area out of seeing any kind of precipitation.

Temperatures will be warm over the Holiday weekend with highs near 50 in the lowlands on Christmas Eve and in the lower 40s in the higher elevations. Rain is also likely on Christmas Eve and into Christmas Day. Temperatures on Christmas Day could approach the lower 60s in the lowlands and anywhere from the upper 40s to the lower 50s in the higher elevations. THIS WILL LIKELY BE NOTHING LIKE THE RAIN WE RECEIVED DURING CHRISTMAS 2015 WHICH CAUSED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION.

As we finish out the month things will likely remain warm. Rain could be possible as well. While I am not seeing any major snowstorms to finish out December models are hinting at some snow by New Year's Eve. However this is still a week away so they could change.

The beginning of January may be warmer than it has been also. Not seeing any major storms during the first week of January. However, I feel that things may start to change as we move into the second and third weeks of January. I think we could see a shot of a couple snowstorms in January. I think the pattern may be favorable again around that time.

As always I will continue to monitor everything and will keep everyone up to date if I see anything pop up.

- Aaron

North/Central West Virginia Weather

Hello everyone! It has been awhile since I have posted on the blog. There is not much happening local weather wise. We have been going into a drought pretty much. However rain and storms are possible this evening into tomorrow evening. Other than that the Tropics are active. We had Tropical Storm Ian which became Post-Tropical yesterday...we have Tropical Depression Julia which is locates off the Southeastern US Coast....we also have Tropical Storm Karl out in the Atlantic which could become the 5th Hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season. An area behind Karl is being monitored for Tropical Development and could become "Lisa" by next week. Other than that everything else is quiet. Have a wonderful evening!

Source: National Hurricane Center

Source: National Hurricane Center

Tropics Possibly Heating Up Before Season Starts

Models are continuing to show a Low Pressure System developing near the Bahamas next week. Many are probably asking "Isn't it too early for Tropical Systems to develop?" It may seem like it is Early but it isn't Tropical Systems can develop anytime of the year if Conditions are favorable for Development The last time there was any Pre-Season Storms was back in 2012 when both Alberto and Beryl formed in May. Alberto formed on May 19 and lasted until the 22. Alberto stayed away from land and moved out to sea! Beryl formed on May 26 and lasted until May 30. Beryl moved over Northeastern Florida before moving up the East coast and back over the open waters and out to sea. There have also been some late Season Storms as well. The last ones were in 2005 and Early 2006 Hurricane Epsilon developed on November 29 2005 and lasted until December 8 2005! Epsilon was the final of fifteen hurricanes within the record-breaking 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. Originating from a cold front beneath an upper-level low, Epsilon formed on November 29 about 915 mi (1470 km) east of Bermuda. Initially, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast the storm to transition into an extratropical cyclone within five days, due to conditions unfavorable for significant intensification. Epsilon continually defied forecasts, at first due to an unexpected loop to the southwest, and later due to retaining its strength despite cold waters and strong wind shear. Tropical Storm Zeta developed December 30 2005 and lasted until January 6 2006 Tropical Storm Zeta was a late-developing tropical storm over the central Atlantic that formed after the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season had officially ended (on November 30) and continued into January 2006. Becoming a tropical depression at approximately midnight on December 30 (UTC),it became the record-breaking thirtieth tropical cyclone of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season and after intensifying into Tropical Storm Zeta six hours later, it become the season's twenty-seventh named storm. Zeta was one of only two Atlantic tropical cyclones to span two calendar years (the other being Hurricane Alice in 1954–55). Zeta originated from an area of low pressure on December 29, which previously developed within an upper-level trough. After becoming a tropical storm, the National Hurricane Center continually predicted it would weaken rapidly. Like the previous tropical cyclone, Hurricane Epsilon, Zeta defied these predictions. The storm reached its peak strength on January 2, 2006 before finally dissipating on January 6. As Zeta never approached land there was no impact from the storm other than minor shipping problems. Several ships encountered the storm, and several crews in the 2005 Atlantic Rowing Race were affected by rough seas and high winds. Therefore I will continue to monitor the model runs and let everyone know what is going on with the Low Pressure once it develops!

Severe Weather Threat Sunday Evening and Monday for West Virginia

As the next Weather system moves into the area Sunday afternoon there could be the chance for Severe Weather into Monday. The threat right now would appear to be Damaging Winds and Large Hail with some Heavy Rain and possibly a tornado or two! It is something that I will continue to watch. All this will be due to a cold front that will move through on Monday. Pretty much like the last Severe Weather Threat we had last week but this won't be a three day Severe Weather Threat for us! STAY UP TO DATE ON THIS!

Rockies Late Season Winter Storm

While we here in West Virginia are dealing with the nice weather and that rain that will be moving in....the Northern and Central Rockies will be dealing with a Late Season Winter Storm that could drop as much as 8 or more inches of Snow!

NWS Western and Central Wyoming (Winter Storm Warnings- Pink) (Winter Weather Advisories- Purple)

NWS Denver/Boulder,Colorado (Winter Storm Warnings- Pink) (Winter Storm Watches- SteelBlue)

Welcome Back

Hello everyone! We are back. A lot of things have changed since we last posted here on our blog. New Name for the website and Facebook Page and we also have changed our viewing area back to only West Virginia We have added several things such as Severe Weather Statements, Severe Thunderstorm Statements, Tornado Statements, Flood Statements, Winter Weather Statements. The Winter Weather Statement was added last year in January. The Severe Weather Statements were just added last month. We also are trying to come up with new ideas for the page everyday. So come on over to Central Appalachian Weather https://www.facebook.com/a.e.nws and check out our page! HAVE A GREAT EVENING Aaron Evans ADMINISTRATOR

Tropical Storm Humberto To Become A Hurricane

On Sunday Tropical Depression Nine formed in the Eastern Atlantic and on Monday TD 9 strengthened into Tropical Storm Humberto. Humberto has been strengthening rapidly the past couple of days and is expected to become a hurricane late this evomorrowening or early tomorrow. If Humberto becomes a Hurricane before 8 AM tomorrow the record for latest hurricane will be unbroken and if it does not the record will be broken. *Tropical Storm HUMBERTO* ...HUMBERTO ALMOST A HURRICANE... 5:00 PM AST Tue Sep 10 Location: "15.0°N 28.1°W" Moving: "NW at 8 mph" Min pressure: "993 mb" Max sustained: "70 mph" HUMBERTO WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH FRIDAY WHEN THE STORM WILL MAKE A WESTWARD TURN BACK TOWARDS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. ALL RESIDENTS ON THE EASTERN SEABOARD SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.