Thursday, April 30, 2015
Tropics Possibly Heating Up Before Season Starts
Models are continuing to show a Low Pressure System developing near the Bahamas next week.
Many are probably asking "Isn't it too early for Tropical Systems to develop?"
It may seem like it is Early but it isn't
Tropical Systems can develop anytime of the year if Conditions are favorable for Development
The last time there was any Pre-Season Storms was back in 2012 when both Alberto and Beryl formed in May.
Alberto formed on May 19 and lasted until the 22. Alberto stayed away from land and moved out to sea!
Beryl formed on May 26 and lasted until May 30. Beryl moved over Northeastern Florida before moving up the East coast and back over the open waters and out to sea.
There have also been some late Season Storms as well. The last ones were in 2005 and Early 2006
Hurricane Epsilon developed on November 29 2005 and lasted until December 8 2005!
Epsilon was the final of fifteen hurricanes within the record-breaking 2005 Atlantic hurricane season. Originating from a cold front beneath an upper-level low, Epsilon formed on November 29 about 915 mi (1470 km) east of Bermuda. Initially, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast the storm to transition into an extratropical cyclone within five days, due to conditions unfavorable for significant intensification. Epsilon continually defied forecasts, at first due to an unexpected loop to the southwest, and later due to retaining its strength despite cold waters and strong wind shear.
Tropical Storm Zeta developed December 30 2005 and lasted until January 6 2006
Tropical Storm Zeta was a late-developing tropical storm over the central Atlantic that formed after the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season had officially ended (on November 30) and continued into January 2006. Becoming a tropical depression at approximately midnight on December 30 (UTC),it became the record-breaking thirtieth tropical cyclone of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season and after intensifying into Tropical Storm Zeta six hours later, it become the season's twenty-seventh named storm. Zeta was one of only two Atlantic tropical cyclones to span two calendar years (the other being Hurricane Alice in 1954–55).
Zeta originated from an area of low pressure on December 29, which previously developed within an upper-level trough. After becoming a tropical storm, the National Hurricane Center continually predicted it would weaken rapidly. Like the previous tropical cyclone, Hurricane Epsilon, Zeta defied these predictions. The storm reached its peak strength on January 2, 2006 before finally dissipating on January 6. As Zeta never approached land there was no impact from the storm other than minor shipping problems. Several ships encountered the storm, and several crews in the 2005 Atlantic Rowing Race were affected by rough seas and high winds.
Therefore I will continue to monitor the model runs and let everyone know what is going on with the Low Pressure once it develops!
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